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Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Solid quarter: Net sales grew 3.3% YoY to $1.86B, gross margin expanded 10 bps to 40.0%, and operating margin rose 30 bps to 14.7%, driving 8.4% YoY net income growth; volume fell 0.8% amid consumer value-seeking and softness in Coca‑Cola Original Taste offset by zero-sugar and flavor growth .
  • Mix/pricing drove results: Sparkling and Still net sales rose 3.0% and 4.8% YoY, led by zero-sugar and flavors in Sparkling and Monster, Core Power, Topo Chico, and smartwater in Still; supermarkets/club/value channels outperformed, while convenience and on‑premise slowed .
  • Cost discipline: SD&A grew 2.8% YoY but fell 10 bps as a percentage of sales to 25.4%; adjusted net income was $195.2M vs. $192.8M (+1.2%) as non‑cash fair value changes and commodity hedges were normalized .
  • Guidance/capital: FY25 capex outlook reaffirmed at approximately $300M; operating cash flow YTD $406.2M and YTD capex ~$157M; Board declared a Q3 dividend of $0.25 per share (post 10‑for‑1 split) on July 11, 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Pricing and mix execution: Gross margin +10 bps to 40.0% and operating margin +30 bps to 14.7% on pricing realization and mix, despite volume declines .
    • Category resilience beyond Coke Original: Zero-sugar and other flavors grew within Sparkling; Still category strength in enhanced water, energy, and protein; Monster, Core Power, Topo Chico, smartwater called out .
    • Strong retail channels: Supermarkets, club, and value channels posted strong sales as consumers sought value in take‑home packages; management emphasized “strong marketplace execution” and “steady profit growth and substantial cash flow” .
      • “We’re pleased to report very solid second quarter results… strong marketplace execution…” — J. Frank Harrison, III (CEO) .
      • “Steady investments in supply chain… enabled us to be highly responsive to this evolving marketplace.” — Dave Katz (President & COO) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Volume softness: Total volume −0.8%; Sparkling −0.3% and Still −2.4% as Coke Original Taste remains pressured; Dasani weakness weighed on Still volume .
    • Channel headwinds: Sales slowed in small store convenience and on‑premise locations, tempering otherwise strong performance in value/take‑home channels .
    • H1 profitability down: First half income from operations decreased 2.7% YoY (two fewer selling days contributed ~$10M); reported H1 net income down 14.0% due to non‑cash fair value adjustments .

Financial Results

YoY Comparison – Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
Net Sales ($B)$1.80 $1.86
Gross Profit ($B)$0.717 $0.742
Gross Margin (%)39.9% 40.0%
SD&A ($B)$0.458 $0.470
Operating Income ($B)$0.259 $0.272
Operating Margin (%)14.4% 14.7%
Net Income ($B)$0.173 $0.187
Diluted EPS ($)$1.85 $2.15
Adjusted Net Income ($B)$0.193 $0.195

Notes: Adjusted figures exclude non‑cash fair value adjustments and commodity derivative impacts; reconciliations provided in release .

Sequential Trend – Q4 2024 to Q2 2025

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Sales ($B)$1.75 $1.58 $1.86
Gross Margin (%)40.0% 39.7% 40.0%
Operating Margin (%)12.5% 12.0% 14.7%
Net Income ($B)$0.179 $0.104 $0.187

Segment Breakdown (Net Sales)

Segment ($MM)Q2 2024Q2 2025YoY Change
Sparkling bottle/can$1,048.9 $1,080.0 +3.0%
Still bottle/can$597.5 $626.1 +4.8%

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q2 2025Notes
Volume (MM cases)91.5 90.7 −0.8% YoY; Dasani weak; excluding Dasani, Still volume +2.0%
SD&A as % of Net Sales25.5% (implied)25.4% −10 bps YoY; labor cost pressure offset by leverage
Effective Tax Rate~26% ~26% Stable YoY
Cash from Operations (H1)$437.1M $406.2M Lower due to fair value and working capital
Capex (H1)$159.4M ~$157M Investing in supply chain; FY25 ~ $300M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025Approximately $300M (provided with FY24/Q4 results) Approximately $300M (reaffirmed in Q1 and Q2 2025 releases) Maintained
DividendQ2 2025$2.50 per share declared Apr 11, 2025
DividendQ3 2025$0.25 per share declared Jul 11, 2025 Maintained on split‑adjusted basis (10‑for‑1 split May 2025)
Effective Tax RateQ2 2025~26% actual (indicative run‑rate)

Note: Company does not provide revenue/margin guidance; disclosure focuses on capex, dividends, and qualitative outlook .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our sources; themes derived from company releases. [Search produced no transcript results.]

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Consumer value/mixQ4: Value-oriented multi‑serve packages strong; stable commodities; Sparkling mix lift . Q1: Consumers increasingly selective; shift toward Still reduced gross margin 50 bps .Value channels (supermarket/club/value) strong; convenience/on‑premise slowed; pricing realization aided margins .Stable emphasis on value channels; margin management improving.
Sparkling performanceQ4: Zero‑calorie brands strength; Sparkling +7.7% . Q1: Coca‑Cola Original Taste softness; zero‑sugar/flavors grew .Sparkling volume −0.3% but net sales +3.0%; zero‑sugar and flavors offset Original Taste softness .Mix/pricing continue to offset core brand softness.
Still portfolioQ4: Still +8.7% YoY; mix headwind earlier in 2024 . Q1: Ex‑Dasani Still +1.8%; Topo Chico introduced .Still net sales +4.8% driven by Monster, Core Power, Topo Chico, smartwater; ex‑Dasani Still volume +2.0% .Improving breadth; Dasani remains a headwind.
Distribution changesQ4: Walmart Dasani shift to non‑DSD reduced reported volume (−1.3% Q4) . Q1: Continued impact (−1.3% volume) .Dasani packages down; ex‑Dasani growth in Still .Headwind persists but narrowing ex‑Dasani.
Supply chain/capexQ4: 2024 capex $371M; 2025 capex plan ~$300M . Q1: Reaffirmed ~$300M .Reaffirmed 2025 capex ~$300M; $157M YTD; continued supply chain investment; new Columbus OH facility (May) .Ongoing reinvestment for capacity/efficiency.
Tax rateFY24 effective tax rate 26.1% . Q1: tax expense impacted by fair value items .Effective tax rate ~26% in Q2 .Stable mid‑20s effective rate.

Management Commentary

  • “We’re pleased to report very solid second quarter results… strong marketplace execution… Our ongoing focus on top-line growth and margin management is producing steady profit growth and substantial cash flow.” — J. Frank Harrison, III, Chairman & CEO .
  • “Our commercial planning anticipated the need for a broad range of packages and prices that would appeal to value‑conscious consumers. Our steady investments in supply chain capabilities… enabled us to be highly responsive to this evolving marketplace.” — Dave Katz, President & COO .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our search; therefore, specific Q&A themes and guidance clarifications cannot be provided. We will update if a transcript is furnished in the future. [No transcript found via document search.]

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2025 EPS and revenue were not available in our retrieval; as a result, we cannot provide a vs. consensus comparison this quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Additional Details and Non‑GAAP Adjustments

  • Adjusted Q2 2025 net income: $195.2M vs. reported $187.4M; adjustments primarily include non‑cash fair value changes and commodity derivative impacts; adjusted diluted EPS $2.24 vs. $2.15 reported .
  • H1 2025 adjusted net income: $331.4M vs. reported $291.0M; fair value adjustments were a key headwind to GAAP results in H1 .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin resilience: Modest gross margin expansion and stronger operating margin reflect solid pricing/mix and SD&A discipline despite flat to down volumes; margin structure remains a core strength into 2H25 .
  • Category breadth offsets core brand softness: Zero‑sugar, flavors, and Still adjacencies (Monster, Core Power, Topo Chico, smartwater) are offsetting Coca‑Cola Original Taste pressure; continued focus on value channels is prudent for macro conditions .
  • H1 drag largely calendar/non‑cash: Two fewer selling days and non‑cash fair value adjustments weighed on H1; underlying operations and cash generation remain healthy (H1 CFO $406M) .
  • Capex/infrastructure: Reaffirmed ~$300M FY25 capex; Columbus distribution investment underscores capacity and efficiency initiatives supporting execution and responsiveness to value‑seeking demand .
  • Dividend continuity post‑split: Q3 dividend declared at $0.25 per share following 10‑for‑1 split; income return intact alongside reinvestment .
  • What to watch near‑term: Mix sustainability (zero‑sugar/flavors), Dasani headwind moderation, convenience/on‑premise channel recovery, and continued SD&A leverage—key to sustaining mid‑teens operating margins .
  • Medium‑term thesis: Durable cash generation and disciplined reinvestment should support balanced shareholder returns and operational resilience across cycles, even amid selective consumer spending .

Sources: Q2 2025 8‑K and Exhibit 99.1 (press release and financials) ; Q1 2025 8‑K (press release and financials) ; Q4/FY 2024 8‑K (press release and financials) ; Dividend releases ; Stock split press release ; Columbus facility investment .